Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000611 0.000695 0.000785 0.000887 0.000999 0.001119 0.001255
2025-11-09 0.000478 0.000594 0.000726 0.000886 0.001073 0.001284 0.001538
2025-11-16 0.000390 0.000517 0.000668 0.000858 0.001090 0.001361 0.001699
2025-11-23 0.000326 0.000458 0.000622 0.000836 0.001106 0.001432 0.001850
2025-11-30 0.000284 0.000420 0.000595 0.000832 0.001140 0.001520 0.002019
2025-12-07 0.000251 0.000390 0.000574 0.000831 0.001174 0.001607 0.002187
2025-12-14 0.000221 0.000359 0.000549 0.000821 0.001193 0.001674 0.002329
2025-12-21 0.000194 0.000329 0.000523 0.000807 0.001205 0.001729 0.002457
2025-12-28 0.000181 0.000320 0.000523 0.000829 0.001266 0.001849 0.002671
2026-01-04 0.000167 0.000307 0.000518 0.000842 0.001313 0.001952 0.002864
2026-01-11 0.000150 0.000288 0.000500 0.000835 0.001331 0.002014 0.003004
2026-01-18 0.000134 0.000268 0.000481 0.000825 0.001343 0.002069 0.003133
2026-01-25 0.000124 0.000257 0.000474 0.000832 0.001381 0.002161 0.003317
2026-02-01 0.000113 0.000243 0.000463 0.000833 0.001409 0.002238 0.003483
2026-02-08 0.000098 0.000222 0.000436 0.000806 0.001393 0.002253 0.003559
2026-02-15 0.000086 0.000203 0.000414 0.000785 0.001385 0.002277 0.003649
2026-02-22 0.000078 0.000192 0.000402 0.000781 0.001404 0.002340 0.003796
2026-03-01 0.000071 0.000183 0.000393 0.000780 0.001426 0.002409 0.003951
2026-03-08 0.000064 0.000171 0.000380 0.000771 0.001434 0.002455 0.004075
2026-03-15 0.000057 0.000159 0.000365 0.000757 0.001435 0.002491 0.004183
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000158 0.000369 0.000778 0.001492 0.002615 0.004426
2026-03-29 0.000051 0.000154 0.000368 0.000790 0.001536 0.002718 0.004639
2026-04-05 0.000046 0.000145 0.000357 0.000784 0.001546 0.002770 0.004774